Midterm Election Results Open Thread #2

12:01AM: IA-01 was just snapped up by Democrats.  Feel that blue wave.
11:56PM: Wow.  KS-02 just flipped to the Democrats.
11:51PM: Webb pulls ahead by 3,000 votes in VA-Sen! Looks like Dan called it right – so far.
11:47PM: Amazing.  In IA-02, Dave Loebsack (D) is 4 points ahead of Jim Leach (R) with 57% reporting.
11:32PM: The fun never ends: PA-04 and AZ-05 have flipped Democratic.
11:25PM: Wow… we actually did it.  Democrats have recaptured the House of Representatvies.  More pick-ups are on the way.  Take a minute and savor it, folks.
11:10PM: Add ’em up on the big board: FL-22, NH-01 (I can’t believe it), NY-24, and IN-09.
11:01PM: More pickups! NC-11, FL-16, CT-05, PA-10, AZ-08 and NY-20!
10:58PM: Gary Trauner is up by 51-45 with 51% reporting in WY-AL.
10:46PM: Oh yeah, and Joe Sestak (D) in PA-07 has been called, too.  As an aside, this is a bizarre election.
10:36PM: Zack Space (D) won in OH-18, and did what Francine Busby couldn’t do in June.  Atta boy!
10:24PM: I can’t believe it, but with 81% of the vote, Carol Shea-Porter (D) is edging Jeb Bradley by 900 votes! 
10:19PM: Paul Hodes wins! He’s about to make a speech. WOW! AWESOME!  Put NH-02 on the big board!
10:15PM: Boyda (D) could really do this thing.  With 47% of precincts reporting, she’s up by 54-44 over Ryun.
10:05PM: With 27% reporting, Altmire (D) has 57 and Hart (R) has 43 in PA-04.  This would be a stunning upset.
9:48PM: Keep your eye on KS-02, where Nancy Boyda (D) is leading Rep. Jim Ryun (R) by a 54-44 margin with 23% reporting.
9:29PM: CNN calls IN-02 for Joe Donnelly.  Nice!
9:23PM: CNN calls Yarmuth!  Alright!  Put KY-03 up on the big board!
9:10PM: With 96% in, John Warmuth (D) is up by 51-48 and 6500 votes over Ann Northup in KY-03.
9:05PM: With 46% reporting, Carol Shea-Porter (D) and Rep. Jeb Bradley (R) are neck and neck at 50-50 each, with a 500 vote edge for Shea-Porter.  No one thought this would be a close race.  Holy smokes.
8:47PM: CNN is calling NJ-Sen for Menendez, but last I saw they had Kean leading. Weird. MA-Gov and OH-Gov also called for Dems.

8 thoughts on “Midterm Election Results Open Thread #2”

  1. Allen & Drake are leading in VB, afraid Kellam may be done for based on the returns. He’s running behind Webb. Webb is running somewhere btwn Kaine & Deeds performance which is not a bad sign. Deeds opponent in 05 was from Va Beach so Deeds did better elsewhere, but as you remember Deeds lost the race by only 323 votes. Webb won my old precinct which never goes Gop. Its high % of military families, middle-upper middle class but definitely military families. He’s doing well in midddle income military precincts which are more “bellweather”
    And don’t even ask, it took me 2 hrs to vote!

    ,

    Virginia Beach City – Ocean Lakes 0003

    Bush 63.6
    Kaine 46.5
    Deeds 44.4 (opponent’s hometown)
    Warner 45.8
    05Turnout 1,116

    Webb 853 49.3
    Allen 852 49.2

    Kellam  732  46.2
    Drake 851  53.7

    ,

    Virginia Beach City – Cape Henry – 0011
    Bush 60.1
    Kaine 54.3
    Deeds 45.3 (opponent’s hometown)
    Warner 53.6
    05Turnout 1,596
    Webb 960  50.4
    Allen  937  49.2

    Kellam  939  49.6
    Drake  952  50.3

    ,

    Virginia Beach City – Aragona – 0016
    Bush 52.1
    Kaine 51.2
    Deeds 47.9 (opponent’s hometown)
    Warner 55.2
    05Turnout 1,224
    Webb  827  52.1
    Allen  734  46.2

    Kellam 818  52.1
    Drake743  47.3

  2. From No VA – not as strong a turnout or as heavy as I’d like to see for Webb. From New Kent & Chesapeake those 2 bellweather precincts split one for Webb one for Allen. In Fairfax the bellweathers split 4 to Webb 3 to Allen.
    Feder & Hurst won’t be moving in this time around.
    Senate race will go down to the wire.

    ,

    Fairfax Co – Sideburn 0120

    Bush 57.4
    Kaine 51.3
    Deeds 46.8
    Warner 46.8
    05Turnout 1,631
    Webb  911  48.8
    Allen  930  49.8

    Hurst  661  35.4
    Davis  1,189  63.8

    ,

    Fairfax Co.- Hayfield 0406

    Bush 52.5
    Kaine 52.8
    Deeds 49.9
    Warner 47.8
    05Turnout 1,408
    Webb  869 52.5
    Allen  764  46.1

    ,

    Fairfax Co- Lorton Center 0625
    Bush 46.6
    Kaine 52.4
    Deeds 50.1
    Warner 57.8
    05Turnout 605
    Webb 456  54.9
    Allen 373  44.9
    Hurst  372  45.0
    Davis  449  54.4

    ,

    Fairfax Co- Silverbrook 0839
    Bush 53.7
    Kaine 52.7
    Deeds 48.6
    Warner 49.7
    05Turnout 1,570
    Webb  962  51.9
    Allen 886  47.8

    Hurst  644  35.0
    Davis1,191  64.7

    ,

    Fairfax Co Greenbriar West 0847

    Bush 51.8
    Kaine 52.7
    Deeds 47.9
    Warner 49.7
    05Turnout
    Webb  629  50.8
    Allen  597  48.2

    Feder  521  42.1
    Wolf  701  56.7

    ,

    Fairfax Co Rocky Run 0913
    Bush 57.9
    Kaine 51.0
    Deeds 46.9
    Warner 46.9
    05Turnout 1,643
    Webb 992  49.5
    Allen993  49.6

    Feder  783  39.1
    Wolf 1,183  59.2

    ,

    Fairfax Co – Poplar Tree 0928
    Bush 57.7
    Kaine 51.0
    Deeds 46.4
    Warner (precinct too new)
    05Turnout
    Webb  705 49.0
    Allen  717 49.8

    Feder  539  37.6
    Wolf  866  60.4

    ,

    New Kent Co – Cumberland 0302

    Bush 57.0
    Kaine 52.1
    Deeds 49.3
    Warner 53.02
    05Turnout 363
    Webb  180  43.0
    Allen  230  54.9

    ,

    Chesapeake City – Indian River 018
    Bush 51.0
    Kaine 57.3
    Deeds 55.1
    Warner 51.4 (opponent’s hometown)
    05Turnout  814
    Webb  378  55.3
    Allen  301 44.1

  3. but certainly wish VA had gone differently. # bellweather growing rural counties: 2 for Webb (barely) one to Allen.
    Gotta say it looks like the outstanding Precincts are not going to be enough to turn this for Webb. No Weed in Congress.

    ,

    Prince Edward County

    Bush 48.81
    Kaine 52.05
    Deeds 49.65
    Warner 48.00
    05Turnout 2,732
    Webb 2,519  47.1
    Allen 2,771  51.8

    Weed  2,167 41.4
    Goode  3,027 57.8

    ,

    Westmoreland County
    Bush 50.13
    Kaine 52.53
    Deeds47.81
    Warner 58.63
    05Turnout 1,540
    Webb 2,430  49.5
    Allen 2,405  49.0

    Rappahannock County

    Bush 53.63
    Kaine 51.13
    Deeds 48.27
    Warner 48.00
    05Turnout 4,239
    Webb 1,741
    Allen 1,593

  4. Kellam did not make it but did come close, carrying Drake’s Norfolk segment of the District:

    T D Drake  Republican 84,757 51.28%
      P J Kellam  Democratic 80,160 48.49%
      Write Ins  379 0.23%
      Total:  165,296

     

    Feder didn’t make it:

    F R Wolf  Republican 121,939 57.39%
      J M Feder  Democratic 86,797 40.85%
      W N Wood III  Libertarian 1,902 0.90%
      N C Nigam  Independent 1,644 0.77%
      Write Ins  193 0.09%
      Total:  212,475

     

    Hurst didn’t make it:

    T M Davis III  Republican 99,212 55.35%
      A L Hurst  Democratic 78,353 43.71%
      F C Greco  Independent Green 1,503 0.84%
      Write Ins  185 0.10%
      Total:  179,253 

    Should have chosen another State to follow this was depressing 🙁

  5. Precincts 212 & 413 are still out. they provided Kaine with a 400 vote margin in 2005. The Absentee Precincts (2) are still out, they provided Kaine with a + 610 votes in 2005. So that’s a thousand vote + possible for Webb. This may go down to a McDonnell 2005 level plurality, a couple of hundered votes.

    G F Allen  Republican 1,139,550 49.43%
      J H Webb Jr  Democratic 1,137,793 49.36%
      G G Parker  Independent Green 25,567 1.11%
      Write Ins  2,263 0.10%
      Total:  2,305,173

     

    Notice the wasted Green Party votes.

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